The 'King of the North' seeks a path to becoming Britain's next leader in a special election

About 75,000 voters in a pocket of northwest England are about to make a momentous decision. They will cast ballots in a contest that may well pick the U. K.’s next prime minister, or plunge Britain's febrile politics into even more turmoil. Some of them aren’t too enthusiastic. “I think they’re all a waste of time,” said Shirley Prior on the choice of candidates in Makerfield, where a special election on June 18 has drawn interest from journalists around the world. That level of attention is all-but unheard of for a midterm by-election to fill one of the 650 seats in the House of Commons. If Andy Burnham from the center-left Labour Party wins, there’s a strong chance he will replace embattled Prime Minister Keir Starmer as leader of both party and country. He's up against Reform UK, a hard-right party hoping to prove that this longtime Labour stronghold is fertile ground for its anti-immigration message, with potentially seismic consequences for British democracy. This district has elected Labour lawmakers for 120 years, but Burnham is not a shoo-in. Reform, led -immigration politician Nigel Farage, won 24 of the 25 council seats up for grabs in local elections in this area last month. “I always voted Labour because my dad, my grandad, everybody voted Labour then,” Prior said. “I’ve never done that for a lot, a lot of years.” Immigration is a top issue The election is taking place amid heightened tensions over immigration. A stabbing in Belfast this week, for which a Sudanese man has been charged with attempted murder, triggered violent protests in Northern Ireland in which cars and houses torched. In the constituency’s main town of Ashton-in-Makerfield, 200 miles (320 kilometers) northwest of London, some voters echo Reform claims that recent arrivals are straining housing and public services. “Immigration’s too high, all the services are being put under pressure and Labour just keep inviting more and more people into the country and it’s the taxpayer who has to pay for them,” said retiree Phil Arrowsmith. Annual net migration to the U. K. reached more than 900,000 in 2023, under the previous Conservative government, before falling to 171,000 last year. That decline has done little to boost a Labour government that has floundered since winning election in July 2024. Starmer has struggled to deliver promised economic growth, repair tattered public services and ease the cost of living, and been hamstrung , including his decision to appoint Peter Mandelson, a scandal-tarnished friend of Jeffrey Epstein, as Britain’s ambassador to Washington.