Winter 2026/2027 Snowfall Explorer: See the Latest Forecast for Your State and Region
New Winter 2026/2027 snowfall predictions are starting to show a strong Super El Niño signature, with clear regional differences visible across the United States, Canada, and Europe. The latest September forecast update shows a better view of where snowfall could run above or below normal during the coming season. The developing Super El Niño will be the major global driving force in the coming months, reshaping the Pacific jet stream and winter storm tracks. Historical data gives us a good idea of how a super event can shape the winter weather, with the latest forecast data starting to show those same signals for Winter 2026/2027. In this article, I will first look at the latest Super El Niño development and the past snowfall patterns, and then I will break down the new Winter 2026/2027 snowfall forecast. But further below, I have prepared a new Snowfall Explorer interface. There, you can check the latest seasonal or monthly snowfall maps for your own state, province, country, or broader region across the U. S., Canada, and Europe. Super El Niño 2026: Building the Winter Snow Pattern From the Ocean We continue to track the growth of a Super El Niño event, as it will be a major global weather driver for 2026/2027. This event is an area of strong above-normal ocean temperature in the ENSO region in the tropical Pacific. The latest NOAA CRW ocean analysis below shows the ENSO area covered in substantial warm anomalies. Peak warm anomalies are found in the eastern parts, now reaching more than 6 degrees above normal (11°F) over a large area. This is an exceptionally strong anomaly and an indicator of the strength of this event. But very strong surface anomalies are only half the story. The true driving force behind this rapid warming and Super El Niño development is found deep below the ocean surface. Below you can subsurface temperature anomaly across the tropical Pacific in the top 200 meters (650 ft) of the ocean. This reveals the core force of the 2026/2027 Super El Niño event: a powerful downwelling Kelvin Wave, with peak anomalies over 9 degrees (16°F) above normal. It is pushing eastward and rising toward the surface. In simple terms, the ocean surface anomalies are just the surface footprint of this massive subsurface warm core. It provides a continuous supply of thermal energy to keep the El Niño strong and healthy on the surface, lasting well into the winter season.
Original story by Severe Weather Europe • View original source
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